William Hill Casino Club The Big Priced Loser: May 2014

Saturday 17 May 2014

Scoop 6 - Are you having a go??

This week's Scoop 6 bet is huge, I'm sure you already know this given the coverage the bet has received as week by week it keeps on rolling over to such an extent that headlines this morning are claiming the bet will be worth a potential £10,000,000 to anyone who can name all 6 winners in the selected races today. As per usual there are some really tricky sprint handicaps involved, in fact the races are as follows

Totepool Scoop6 races
  • Race 1 : 1:45 Newmarket
  • Race 2 : 2:40 Newbury
  • Race 3 : 2:55 Newmarket
  • Race 4 : 3:25 Thirsk
  • Race 5 : 3:30 Newmarket
  • Race 6 : 4:00 Thirsk
Normally I wouldn't be betting in most of the above races but with the prize fund as it is today if you don't get involved with £10,000,000 to be won when will you get involved?!?! You can get involved in the bet for as little as £2, which is done by picking one horse in each race, and can add horses to each races which will obviously increase your stake. Let's have a quick look at some potential selections for this challenging bet.

Race 1 - 1.45 Newmarket 7f 

Jack of Diamonds tempts me in here. He has been running well off a far higher mark on the all weather while his turf mark tumbles down due to a seeming preference for the sand; today he runs off a mark 11lbs lower than he last ran well under around Lingfield. Visor on, a good firm surface under his hooves, I hope he can produce a performance more akin to his all weather form in this race.

Race 2 - 2.40 Newbury 7f 

Indignant is the selection here. Will love the good to firm ground on offer at Newbury and has plenty of previous form over this 7f trip. Richard Hannon trains so don't worry about the lack of a recent run, especially considering this horse's record fresh, and Indignant loves these kind of handicap races, something that some horses just do not take too.

Race 3 - 2.55 Newmarket 7f 

Excuse Parbold his re-appearance run, at first glance 5th place in a 6 runner field may not appear that great but Parbold was trying to give weight to the field, the winner has come out and run well in the Guineas and he was actually beaten under 2 lengths by the winner. Richard Fahey thinks very highly of this one and with his proven ability to handle the Newmarket dip in addition to the fact he has by far the best form in this race Parbold is the selection in this race.

Race 4 - 3.25 Thirsk 5f 

A trappy 5f handicap here and Bronze Beau is taken to win here. The jockey can claim a useful 5lbs and Bronze Beau has run two useful races over 5f this season already, including a 4th of 18 over this C&D latest. He will also appreciate the drying ground and in a race where many of these are getting on a bit or look to have a preference for softer ground Kristin Stubb's charge is taken to win here.

Race 5 - 3.30 Newmarket 6f

Andrea Azteni is riding at the top of his game at the moment and he can ride bottom weight Nova Champ to victory here. Nova Champ won a C&D handicap here at the Guineas meeting and, although 7lbs higher in the weights, with a proven liking for the track and ground conditions I think he could be up to defying that rise especially with the form of the man on top at the moment. Azteni has been on fire up at the York Dante meeting and a confident rider is certainly worth a few lbs in a handicap as tough as this one!

Race 6 - 4.00 Thirsk 1 mile

If you are still in the Scoop 6 at this point then I expect you will be hiding behind the sofa at this point! Take the aptly named Escape to Glory to bring up the 6th winner out of 6 here and take you to glory and £10,000,000. Escape to Glory ran really well on re-appearance at Redcar, winning like an extra 6lbs would not have stopped him, and if he can find further improvement stepped up to a mine he will definitely be involved at the sharp end in the final leg of the record-breaking Scoop 6. Paul Mulrennan rides the Northern tracks well and knows this horse well, hopefully he can steer the selection past the line first.

That's it, a cheeky selection in each race simply because you have to get involved today! There will be many thousands of pounds ploughed into syndicates around the country today hoping to grab a slice of the prize on offer but who is to say the romantic fairytale story of a £2 scooping the lot can't be realised!?!?

Best of luck to all those playing and thanks for reading

Sunday 4 May 2014

Looking back on the first Classic weekend of the season

Newmarket really has treated us to some great action this weekend with some really good, competitive racing and I thought I'd have a look back at the weekend that was, starting with the Sunday's fare. This saw Miss France take the 1000 Guineas for French trainer Andre Fabre, tipped up in the ante-post piece on this site for the race! In a really competitive renewal the first three home were separated by a neck and half a length, with Tapestry, for whom the money came late, a real disappointment. Ollie Stevens can be really proud of his filly Lightening Thunder who came late and hard to grab 2nd place, in a few more yards she could have been the winner, and Ihtimal ran a really good race to finish 3rd. This was a great effort from a filly whom I think will definitely be better over further and was cut in the betting for the Oaks, now around a 16/1 shot. However the race belonged to Miss France who put her disappointing run in her seasonal reappearance well behind her as under Maxime Guyon she got to the front around 1f out and never looked back. Her trainer also thinks she will get further and I believe she is set to step up in trip on her next start, I wonder whether Fabre will be really ambitious and target the fillies triple crown?!? I hope so, it would make for a really exciting sub-plot to the English Classic season, but I think she is set to go for the Prix de Diane next back in France so we will have to see how she gets on there first. Fabre did rule the Oaks out in the immediate aftermath of the race but I still harbour faint hope he might be tempted! Both the winner and the 2nd home hold entries in the Coronation stakes so that may be the place for a re-match and I don't thing Lightening Thunder or Miss France will be allowed to go off at such generous prices for that race!

Another horse in action on Sunday doing her Oaks credentials no hard at all was the John Gosden trained Taghrooda who was really impressive in the Pretty Polly stakes over 1m 2f. Now as short as 3/1 for the Oaks she certainly impressed over the Newmarket circuit, winning easily and from trainer quotes post race the Oaks is certainly the target for this filly. It doesn't look like Gosden will be using a prep race, instead preferring to take Taghrooda for a solo spin round the Epsom undulations, but the master trainer knows what he is doing and both he and jockey Paul Hanagan were positive regarding her Oaks chances post-race.

On Saturday we saw a fascinating 2000 Guineas, with a shock winner in the Richard Hannon trained, Kieron Fallon ridden Night of Thunder. That marked Fallon's 6th victory in the Guineas, such an impressive record and it shows that despite his age he is still one of the top jockeys out there. The form of this race looks rock solid, with Kingman coming 2nd and Australia 3rd, and it looks like the Irish Guineas may provide us with a chance to see the first two home clash once again while the 3rd home looks Derby bound. Night of Thunder hung halfway across the track in winning the race so you could say without that he would have won by further, I certainly do not think there is any fluke about this result. Toormore was a big disappointment for me, Hannon saying he just ran flat, but I do think post-race that he may not have quite the required class to compete right at the top level.

One horse that certainly has all the class to compete right at the top is Sole Power who won the Palace House stakes in a really taking fashion. Ryan Moore didn't get the clearest of runs aboard the favourite but once he had some clear air in front of him there was no doubt as to which horse would win the race and Sole Power put the race to bed in decisive fashion. On quick ground he is one of the best sprinters out there and I wouldn't be keen to oppose him if he attempts to win the Temple Stakes title at Haydock in the near future, and quotes of 7/1 for the Kings Stand stakes at Ascot could look big if we get fast ground on the day. He may not be that great an ante-post proposition as he is really ground dependant but it will be some sight if this speedball lines up at Ascot at the Royal meeting.

We've got more great flat action hot on the heels of this meet, with Chester's May Festival kicking off on Wednesday, we really are treated at this time of year! Thanks very much for reading this and have a great rest of the Bank Holiday weekend.