Day 3 was another losing bet, taking my record to -1.62 Units so far and it may be best for your bank balance if you stop reading now. If you want to find a bet to avoid or even lay on the exchange then read on...
Day 4 - Spain vs Czech Republic
This looks one of the more tricky days which doesn't bode too well given my record thus far. I think Spain will beat the Czech Republic but they are a short enough price for the outright win and this has led me to look into a way of combining a Spanish win with goals to get a better price.
Looking back to the Spanish record in qualification leads me to a cracking (I think) bet. Spain only conceded three times in their qualification for this tournament; their last 8 games then won to nil. The Spanish are excellent at keeping the ball and making their opponents chase it, and as I'm sure Andy Townsend will tell us you need the ball if you are to score.
There are various ways you could play this; Spain to win to nil (6/5) , Spain and under 2.5 goals (11/5), Spain and under 1.5 goals (5/1) or a variation of that bet.
If you fancy Spain to win 1-0 or 2-0 then Spain and under 2.5 goals is the bet for you,.The more adventurous Spain and under 1.5 goals is effectively a bet on 1-0 Spain whilst Spain to win to nil allows for the prospect of Spain running wild. Looking at their qualification record they won 1-0 or 2-0 five times, the other 4 wins being by larger margins than 2 goals.
I'm going to play it safe and hopefully secure a win by going for Spain to win to nil
Day 4 - Spain to win to nil 1 unit (6/5)
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