Unbelievable...on day 19 we won a bet! Both teams scored in Germany vs Italy and the blog moves on to -7.87. Wow, inspirational stuff. Whilst I send a postcard to Mother to mark this day, day 20 thoughts are below
Day 20 - France vs Iceland
Well many thought this match on Sunday evening would be France vs England, but Iceland put paid to that as they frankly outperformed England and beat them 2-1 in the round of 16, once again knocking England out at the first knockout stage of International football. France looked up against it at half-time against Ireland, 1-0 down and struggling with the physical game Ireland were playing, but as Ireland tired in the 2nd half and France changed formation slightly Griezmann was able to thrive in his central role and score twice, leading to the progression of the host nation.
I fancy Iceland will attempt to play in a similar manner to Ireland in the first half, but if France are able to start the game in the way they finished against Ireland I think they will have too much for Iceland in the end. Griezmann was the difference in France's last game and I hope that he will be played in a more central role here, as he was in that 2nd half, as the French are a far more impressive team when this happens. And if it does I really fancy Griezmann to notch, and thus at 17/10 anytime goalscorer, he is the play on day 20
Day 20 -Griezmann to score anytime 17/10
Wednesday, 29 June 2016
One bet a day for Euro 2016 - Day 19
Oh my days. Turmoil in the bet-a-day challenge; I'm doubting if I'm the man to lead this blog forward, I doubt I'll be voted in for a future tournament and as I look at the profit/loss (-9.17) we come to the hardest game of the quarter-finals to call. Hardly bodes well...
Day 19 - Germany vs Italy
What a humdinger of a game we look set for here. Germany, yet to concede and supreme when brushing Slovakia aside in the round of 16 vs Italy, outsiders initially for Euro glory but a team that is more than the sum of their parts as proved when storming past Spain last time out. This looks set to be an absolutely thrilling match and is the quarter final I am most looking forward too!
Now to find a bet in the game; a bit more tricky. I've been very impressed with Germany thus far but quotes of 5/4 to win this in 90 minutes do seem skinny considering just how impressive Italy have been when thrashing Belgium and overcoming Spain with surprising ease. The draw is priced at 2/1 and Italy outsiders for the 90 minute win at 3/1. If pushed I'd have to go for Germany to win, they have really impressed me so far, but I wouldn't be confident.
Therefore, for the bet in this game I'm going for both teams to score at 13/10. Germany come into the game after hitting 3 past Slovakia, even missing a penalty in that game, whereas Italy put 2 past Spain and that could have been many more if it wasn't for the superb performance by De Gea in goal for Spain. Add into the mix that Italy are (probably) missing De Rossi with injury and Motta through suspension and I think we can definitely get a few goals here. I like this bet in knockout football as if one team scores the others are forced to attack and I'm hoping that both teams can notch here.
Day 19 - Both teams to score 13/10
Day 19 - Germany vs Italy
What a humdinger of a game we look set for here. Germany, yet to concede and supreme when brushing Slovakia aside in the round of 16 vs Italy, outsiders initially for Euro glory but a team that is more than the sum of their parts as proved when storming past Spain last time out. This looks set to be an absolutely thrilling match and is the quarter final I am most looking forward too!
Now to find a bet in the game; a bit more tricky. I've been very impressed with Germany thus far but quotes of 5/4 to win this in 90 minutes do seem skinny considering just how impressive Italy have been when thrashing Belgium and overcoming Spain with surprising ease. The draw is priced at 2/1 and Italy outsiders for the 90 minute win at 3/1. If pushed I'd have to go for Germany to win, they have really impressed me so far, but I wouldn't be confident.
Therefore, for the bet in this game I'm going for both teams to score at 13/10. Germany come into the game after hitting 3 past Slovakia, even missing a penalty in that game, whereas Italy put 2 past Spain and that could have been many more if it wasn't for the superb performance by De Gea in goal for Spain. Add into the mix that Italy are (probably) missing De Rossi with injury and Motta through suspension and I think we can definitely get a few goals here. I like this bet in knockout football as if one team scores the others are forced to attack and I'm hoping that both teams can notch here.
Day 19 - Both teams to score 13/10
Tuesday, 28 June 2016
One bet a day for Euro 2016 - Day 17
-7.17. The abject performance of the blog goes on, however even this isn't as abject as England were against Iceland. Out-battled, out-thought and thoroughly outplayed, you can't even argue they were unlucky losers. And the same sentiments can be applied to the blog's selections over this performance unfortunately but we go on, in the hunt for that elusive winner...
Day 17 - Poland vs Portugal
For the first 45 minutes of their round of 16 match Poland were very good, for the 2nd 45 they were not. However, they progressed on penalties and face a Portugal side who were also fairly poor but who are also, unlike England, still in the tournament. Portugal haven't actually won a game this Euro's yet therefore their price of 13/10 doesn't really appeal. What I do like is Poland and under 2.5 goals at a whopping 11/2. Poland have only conceded once this tournament, and have managed an impressive, and arguably unlucky, draw against Germany already, whilst they have beaten both the Ukraine and Northern Ireland. Both wins have come by a single goal, and as mentioned they have only let in 1 goal over 4 games thus far. Therefore I think Poland to win and under 2.5 goals in the game at 11/2 is a good bet here.
Poland and under 2.5 goals @ 11/2
Day 17 - Poland vs Portugal
For the first 45 minutes of their round of 16 match Poland were very good, for the 2nd 45 they were not. However, they progressed on penalties and face a Portugal side who were also fairly poor but who are also, unlike England, still in the tournament. Portugal haven't actually won a game this Euro's yet therefore their price of 13/10 doesn't really appeal. What I do like is Poland and under 2.5 goals at a whopping 11/2. Poland have only conceded once this tournament, and have managed an impressive, and arguably unlucky, draw against Germany already, whilst they have beaten both the Ukraine and Northern Ireland. Both wins have come by a single goal, and as mentioned they have only let in 1 goal over 4 games thus far. Therefore I think Poland to win and under 2.5 goals in the game at 11/2 is a good bet here.
Poland and under 2.5 goals @ 11/2
One bet a day for Euro 2016 - Day 18
-8.17 now. Day 17 saw Poland go ahead inside 2 minutes, something I didn't want for my bet, and whilst I thought I would lose because we would get too many goals we actually lost because Poland couldn't see the game out and ended up going out on pens. Still, head up, I won't do a Boris and make a load of recommendations before bailing on the blog when it all goes wrong...no we're moving on to day 18.
Day 18 - Wales vs Belgium
Well the round of 16 saw Belgium finally arrive at this tournament in no uncertain terms as they tore apart a Hungary side who seemed intent on defending on the half-way line. Not the wisest move against the pace that Belgium possess but with their confidence boosted, Hazard seemingly fresh as a daisy after his season off and the squad possessing attacking talent that is the envy of every team in this tournament I really fancy Belgium here.
Wales have done very well so far but I think Belgium are undoubtably the best team they have come across so far and this could be where their tournament ends. With Bale in the team you can always give the Welsh a chance of grabbing a goal, but I think Belgium win here. Because I don't want to rule out a Welsh goal I'm going for Belgium to win and over 2.5 goals at 12/5, allowing for the possibility of Belgium running riot here.
Belgium to win and over 2.5 goals - 12/5
Day 18 - Wales vs Belgium
Well the round of 16 saw Belgium finally arrive at this tournament in no uncertain terms as they tore apart a Hungary side who seemed intent on defending on the half-way line. Not the wisest move against the pace that Belgium possess but with their confidence boosted, Hazard seemingly fresh as a daisy after his season off and the squad possessing attacking talent that is the envy of every team in this tournament I really fancy Belgium here.
Wales have done very well so far but I think Belgium are undoubtably the best team they have come across so far and this could be where their tournament ends. With Bale in the team you can always give the Welsh a chance of grabbing a goal, but I think Belgium win here. Because I don't want to rule out a Welsh goal I'm going for Belgium to win and over 2.5 goals at 12/5, allowing for the possibility of Belgium running riot here.
Belgium to win and over 2.5 goals - 12/5
Monday, 27 June 2016
One bet a day for Euro 2016 - Day 16
Well, after I called Belgium vs Hungary completely wrong, hardly surprising, we move deeper into the red and onto a figure of -6.17. Maybe like Lionel Messi I should just call it quits after a few too many losses? I certainly don't think it could be argued that I'd be quitting too soon...
Day 16
Two excellent games today; Italy vs Spain for the excitement that a clash between two heavyweights of International football and England vs Iceland because, well, its England.
In the first game I think this has draw written all over it; will Spain be able to break down a tough Italian defence? And will Italy be able to get the ball enough to try and launch a counter or two on the Spain goal? An intriguing match and one I don't see too many goals in, if I were to have a bet I'd go for something like under 2.5 goals but 4/9 is no price. Under 1.5 is 11/8, more attractive but I'll not be betting here.
In the match involving Roy's Boys, England *should* have far too much for Iceland but I think they will find it quite hard to break them down and certainly don't see them running away with it. They struggled to break down Slovakia when they sat deep and I can see this match progressing the same way. England to win to nil, at 11/10 is my favourite bet here and the one for day 16.
Day 16 - England to win to nil, 11/10
Day 16
Two excellent games today; Italy vs Spain for the excitement that a clash between two heavyweights of International football and England vs Iceland because, well, its England.
In the first game I think this has draw written all over it; will Spain be able to break down a tough Italian defence? And will Italy be able to get the ball enough to try and launch a counter or two on the Spain goal? An intriguing match and one I don't see too many goals in, if I were to have a bet I'd go for something like under 2.5 goals but 4/9 is no price. Under 1.5 is 11/8, more attractive but I'll not be betting here.
In the match involving Roy's Boys, England *should* have far too much for Iceland but I think they will find it quite hard to break them down and certainly don't see them running away with it. They struggled to break down Slovakia when they sat deep and I can see this match progressing the same way. England to win to nil, at 11/10 is my favourite bet here and the one for day 16.
Day 16 - England to win to nil, 11/10
Saturday, 25 June 2016
One bet a day for Euro 2016 - Day 15
Well day 14 didn't work, the goalscorer treble fell at the first hurdle in fact, and we move onto -5.17 Units. I did read today that the stock markets were beginning to recover after Friday's Brexit result, I can only hope the same happens to this blog.
Day 15 - Hungary vs Belgium
Ok, I've given up on the big priced shots for now. I've been impressed by Hungary this tournament and they are playing well and playing with real passion. After holding Portugal to a high scoring draw I think they are good value in the double chance market to either win or draw this knockout match after 90 minutes at 5/4. The players seem to have really gelled as a team, not something you can say about the Belgians who definitely seem to be less than the sum of their parts so far. Even though they beat Ireland and Sweden I think they may find the teamwork and probably confidence of this Hungary team difficult to overcome, hence the Hungary or draw vote.
Day 15 - Hungary or Draw at 5/4
Day 15 - Hungary vs Belgium
Ok, I've given up on the big priced shots for now. I've been impressed by Hungary this tournament and they are playing well and playing with real passion. After holding Portugal to a high scoring draw I think they are good value in the double chance market to either win or draw this knockout match after 90 minutes at 5/4. The players seem to have really gelled as a team, not something you can say about the Belgians who definitely seem to be less than the sum of their parts so far. Even though they beat Ireland and Sweden I think they may find the teamwork and probably confidence of this Hungary team difficult to overcome, hence the Hungary or draw vote.
Day 15 - Hungary or Draw at 5/4
Friday, 24 June 2016
One bet a day for Euro 2016 - Day 14
Running total after Belgium only won at full time, not half time -4.17 units
We're out of Europe sadly, not England football team but the country as a whole, and also more happily the group stages and into the knockout of Euro 2016; with this I hope we will see some more attacking football. Because of the expansion in terms of number of teams competing, the group stage saw 3 teams qualify from most groups and this led to teams knowing that often a draw would be a good result in terms of their qualification. However, now we get to the knockout we are going to get a winner in each and every game, albeit it may take penalties to decide who progresses, and I think we will get a more attacking brand of football on offer. Penalties are a bit of a lottery, certainly England fans will not want to be relying on the dreaded spot kicks to decide their progression, and I think teams will want to avoid this if possible.
With this in mind let's progress to day 14, the first day of knockout football.
Day 14 - Goalscorer Treble
For day 14 we have three ties to choose from; Switzerland vs Poland, Wales vs Northern Ireland and Croatia vs Portugal. And it's a player from each of the three goals that I'm going to combine into a goalscorer treble for day 14's bet.
In Switzerland vs Poland I'm choosing Milik to score, he seems to be getting plenty of chances because of the attention teams are giving to his strike partner, Robert Lewandowski, and at 14/5 seems a generous price to notch.
From Wales vs Northern Ireland I'm going for the obvious; Gareth Bale. Bale has scored in each of the three games thus has a real chance of getting the Golden Boot award for top goalscorer, will be on set-pieces and is in cracking form, high on confidence. 29/20 for him.
And the final game, well it's the man who scored twice in the last game after coming under some heavy criticism for his performances prior to that; Cristiano Ronaldo. On his day he is the world's best player and Portugal will need him to be firing if they are to have any chance of progressing. And it's not like Ronaldo to miss a chance to grab the limelight, at 13/10 he completes the treble.
Day 14 - Milik, Bale and Ronaldo to score anytime @ 20.41/1 1 unit
We're out of Europe sadly, not England football team but the country as a whole, and also more happily the group stages and into the knockout of Euro 2016; with this I hope we will see some more attacking football. Because of the expansion in terms of number of teams competing, the group stage saw 3 teams qualify from most groups and this led to teams knowing that often a draw would be a good result in terms of their qualification. However, now we get to the knockout we are going to get a winner in each and every game, albeit it may take penalties to decide who progresses, and I think we will get a more attacking brand of football on offer. Penalties are a bit of a lottery, certainly England fans will not want to be relying on the dreaded spot kicks to decide their progression, and I think teams will want to avoid this if possible.
With this in mind let's progress to day 14, the first day of knockout football.
Day 14 - Goalscorer Treble
For day 14 we have three ties to choose from; Switzerland vs Poland, Wales vs Northern Ireland and Croatia vs Portugal. And it's a player from each of the three goals that I'm going to combine into a goalscorer treble for day 14's bet.
In Switzerland vs Poland I'm choosing Milik to score, he seems to be getting plenty of chances because of the attention teams are giving to his strike partner, Robert Lewandowski, and at 14/5 seems a generous price to notch.
From Wales vs Northern Ireland I'm going for the obvious; Gareth Bale. Bale has scored in each of the three games thus has a real chance of getting the Golden Boot award for top goalscorer, will be on set-pieces and is in cracking form, high on confidence. 29/20 for him.
And the final game, well it's the man who scored twice in the last game after coming under some heavy criticism for his performances prior to that; Cristiano Ronaldo. On his day he is the world's best player and Portugal will need him to be firing if they are to have any chance of progressing. And it's not like Ronaldo to miss a chance to grab the limelight, at 13/10 he completes the treble.
Day 14 - Milik, Bale and Ronaldo to score anytime @ 20.41/1 1 unit
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